Connect historical data
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Configure the V13 comparison
Use the same 128-symbol universe as your V12 study for a direct comparison, or run a smaller pilot first.
The three controlled tests use completed daily bars and may take longer than V12; use a desktop for 128/228 symbols, keep the tab open, and do not include pre-market or news AI in these historical results.
Research progress
Preparing historical sample…
Three-way forward comparison
Same historical bars, identical portfolio constraints, and no hindsight-based selection. This is an exploratory comparison.
| Research arm | CAGR | Max DD | Net P&L | Trades | Exposure |
|---|
A = V12 unchanged. B = price action alone. C = adaptive V12 models competing with indicator + price-action candidates. Portfolio returns must not be added together.
Portfolio equity curves · three research arms
Selection by half-year
The table below shows combined-model selections. The diagnostic table further down explains cash-only periods in all three experiments.
| Forward period | Bull regime models | Range models | Trades | Net P&L |
|---|
Why was the system in cash?
These are process explanations, not proof that the strategy would have worked if thresholds were loosened.
| Arm | Forward window | Bull days | Qualified | Trades | Explanation |
|---|
Price-action occurrence counts
Observed during bull/range sessions at signal prices $5–$200; one stock can match several patterns. Occurrences do NOT imply profit.
| Pattern | Matching historical stock-days |
|---|
Historical combined-model ranking
Full-history descriptive rankings only. They did not determine the models used in earlier forward windows.
| Profile | Regime | Exit | Trades | Profit factor | P&L |
|---|
Universe and regime summary
Results are simulated, not evidence of a reliable 30% CAGR. Existing research has already examined these historical dates; these forward-window procedures do not create an untouched data set. Curated symbols omit delisted stocks and IEX volume is not consolidated.